SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for King's Lynn Town had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest King's Lynn Town win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
48.74% ( 0.54) | 23.97% ( -0.07) | 27.3% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 57.26% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.47% ( -0.01) | 44.53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.11% ( -0.01) | 66.89% ( 0.02) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.62% ( 0.21) | 18.38% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.49% ( 0.35) | 49.51% ( -0.35) |
| King's Lynn Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.15% ( -0.35) | 29.85% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.07% ( -0.42) | 65.93% ( 0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.46% Total : 48.74% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.19% Total : 27.3% |
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