SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Needham Market had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Needham Market win was 1-2 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Needham Market |
46.18% ( -3.1) | 23.44% ( 0.74) | 30.38% ( 2.36) |
| Both teams to score 61.31% ( -1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.84% ( -2.03) | 40.15% ( 2.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.47% ( -2.13) | 62.52% ( 2.13) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.31% ( -1.93) | 17.69% ( 1.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.67% ( -3.45) | 48.33% ( 3.45) |
| Needham Market Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( 0.51) | 25.52% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.63% ( 0.7) | 60.36% ( -0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Needham Market |
| 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.18) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.46)3-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.4)3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.37)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.3)4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.22)Other @ 3.86% Total : 46.18% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.41)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( 0.64)0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.49)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.24)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.38% |
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