Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford City | Draw | Chorley |
37.48% (![]() | 25.12% (![]() | 37.39% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.32% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.77% (![]() | 46.22% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.48% (![]() | 68.51% (![]() |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.73% (![]() | 24.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.37% (![]() | 58.62% (![]() |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.69% (![]() | 24.31% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.31% (![]() | 58.69% |
Score Analysis |
Oxford City | Draw | Chorley |
2-1 @ 8.37% 1-0 @ 8.35% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.95% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.4% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.48% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 2-2 @ 5.92% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.9% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.12% | 1-2 @ 8.35% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.34% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.9% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.39% |
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