SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Chorley win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Chorley |
37.48% ( 0.01) | 25.12% ( -0) | 37.39% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.32% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.77% ( 0) | 46.22% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.48% ( 0) | 68.51% ( -0.01) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( 0) | 24.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.37% ( 0.01) | 58.62% ( -0.01) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( -0) | 24.31% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.31% ( -0) | 58.69% |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Chorley |
| 2-1 @ 8.37% 1-0 @ 8.35% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.48% | 1-1 @ 11.81% 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.12% | 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.9% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.79% 0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.39% 2-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 37.39% |
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