SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 1-2 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
48.04% ( 0.85) | 23.5% ( -0.16) | 28.45% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 59.77% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.37% ( 0.32) | 41.62% ( -0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.97% ( 0.32) | 64.02% ( -0.32) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.46% ( 0.45) | 17.53% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.94% ( 0.78) | 48.06% ( -0.78) |
| Peterborough Sports Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.47% ( -0.31) | 27.52% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.96% ( -0.4) | 63.03% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Peterborough Sports |
| 2-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.86% Total : 48.04% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 6.99% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.45% |
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