SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leamington FC win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Oxford City had a probability of 17.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leamington FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.51%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Oxford City win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leamington FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leamington FC | Draw | Oxford City |
60.19% ( -0.14) | 22.67% ( 0.12) | 17.13% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.7% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.5% ( -0.45) | 50.5% ( 0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.58% ( -0.4) | 72.42% ( 0.4) |
| Leamington FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.62% ( -0.2) | 16.38% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.98% ( -0.37) | 46.02% ( 0.36) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.04% ( -0.25) | 42.96% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.74% ( -0.21) | 79.25% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leamington FC | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 11.51% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.92% Total : 60.19% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.77% Total : 22.67% | 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.69% Total : 17.13% |
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