SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warrington Town win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Warrington Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 2-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Warrington Town |
35.81% ( -0) | 24.82% ( -0.01) | 39.37% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.31% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.1% ( 0.05) | 44.9% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.74% ( 0.05) | 67.26% ( -0.05) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.43% ( 0.02) | 24.57% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.94% ( 0.03) | 59.06% ( -0.03) |
| Warrington Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% ( 0.03) | 22.69% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.65% ( 0.04) | 56.34% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Warrington Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.15% 1-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.9% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 35.81% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.81% | 1-2 @ 8.61% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.13% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.58% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.37% |
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