SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Oxford City |
43.13% ( 0.16) | 27.34% ( -0.03) | 29.52% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 48.17% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.95% ( 0.07) | 57.05% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.06% ( 0.06) | 77.94% ( -0.06) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% ( 0.12) | 26.21% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.69% ( 0.15) | 61.3% ( -0.15) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.28% ( -0.05) | 34.72% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.55% ( -0.05) | 71.45% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 43.13% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 29.52% |
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