SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 25.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Chester FC |
25.94% ( -4.39) | 24.55% ( -0.9) | 49.51% ( 5.29) |
| Both teams to score 54.13% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.89% ( 1.16) | 48.11% ( -1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.73% ( 1.05) | 70.27% ( -1.05) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.21% ( -2.69) | 32.79% ( 2.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.65% ( -3.11) | 69.35% ( 3.12) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( 2.78) | 19.47% ( -2.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.68% ( 4.35) | 51.32% ( -4.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.92) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.76)2-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.86)3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.49)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.46)Other @ 2.5% Total : 25.94% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( -0.44) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.31)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0.45)0-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.98)1-3 @ 5.2% ( 0.65)0-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.87)2-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.42)0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.48)2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.16)Other @ 3% Total : 49.5% |
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