SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Buxton win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Buxton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Buxton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Buxton |
33.23% ( -0.02) | 25.83% ( -0) | 40.93% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.13% ( 0.02) | 49.87% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.13% ( 0.01) | 71.86% ( -0.02) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.53% ( -0) | 28.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.76% ( -0) | 64.24% ( 0) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% ( 0.02) | 24.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.61% ( 0.02) | 58.39% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 8.62% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.23% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 33.23% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.86% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.95% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.3% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 40.93% |
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