SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 30.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Chester FC |
30.9% ( 0.02) | 23.57% ( -0) | 45.52% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.12% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.47% ( 0.02) | 40.52% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.09% ( 0.02) | 62.9% ( -0.02) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.62% ( 0.02) | 25.37% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.83% ( 0.03) | 60.16% ( -0.03) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.9% ( -0) | 18.09% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.97% | 49.03% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Chester FC |
| 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.3% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.32% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.9% | 1-1 @ 10.76% 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.71% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.24% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.82% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.24% 0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0)Other @ 3.69% Total : 45.52% |
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