SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
48.17% ( 6.47) | 23.63% ( -1.12) | 28.2% ( -5.36) |
| Both teams to score 59.14% ( 1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.63% ( 2.62) | 42.36% ( -2.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.23% ( 2.56) | 64.77% ( -2.57) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.23% ( 3.83) | 17.77% ( -3.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.53% ( 6.23) | 48.47% ( -6.23) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.92% ( -2.17) | 28.08% ( 2.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.26% ( -2.84) | 63.74% ( 2.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.58) 1-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.88)3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.91)3-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.93)3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.4)4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.62)4-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.57)4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.32)Other @ 3.75% Total : 48.17% | 1-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.64) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.61)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.87) 0-1 @ 6.34% ( -1.22)0-2 @ 4.03% ( -1.08)1-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.58)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.59)1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.25)Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.2% |
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