SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.2%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
42.9% ( -0.07) | 25.4% ( 0.03) | 31.7% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.16% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.5% ( -0.1) | 48.5% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.37% ( -0.09) | 70.63% ( 0.09) |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( -0.08) | 22.54% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.89% ( -0.11) | 56.11% ( 0.12) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.21% ( -0.02) | 28.79% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.36% ( -0.03) | 64.64% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hereford United | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.2% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.58% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.23% Total : 42.9% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.11% 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 31.7% |
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