SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 50.1%. A win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Darlington would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Darlington |
26.76% ( -0.01) | 23.14% ( -0.01) | 50.1% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 59.64% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.82% ( 0.02) | 41.17% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.43% ( 0.02) | 63.57% ( -0.02) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.5% ( 0) | 28.49% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.73% ( 0) | 64.27% ( 0) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.4% ( 0.02) | 16.6% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.6% ( 0.03) | 46.4% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Darlington |
| 2-1 @ 6.69% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.73% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.8% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 3.53% Total : 26.76% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.49% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.73% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.57% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.6% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.57% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.05% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 50.1% |
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