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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
45.43% ( -4.54) | 25.5% ( 0.8) | 29.08% ( 3.75) |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.96% ( -0.83) | 50.04% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.99% ( -0.75) | 72.01% ( 0.75) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( -2.3) | 22.01% ( 2.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.68% ( -3.61) | 55.32% ( 3.61) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.61% ( 2.49) | 31.39% ( -2.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.24% ( 2.79) | 67.76% ( -2.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.36)2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.89)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.53)3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.77)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.34)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.43)4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.3% Total : 45.42% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.91% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8% ( 0.78) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( 0.67)0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.73)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.42)2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.38)Other @ 2.86% Total : 29.08% |
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