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National League North | Gameweek 33
Feb 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Lookers Vauxhall Stadium

Chester
3 - 0
Scarborough Ath

Whitehouse (9' pen.), Glendon (67'), Peers (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thornton (88')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chester FC and Scarborough Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-1 Chester
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-1 South Shields
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 20.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Scarborough Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.

Result
Chester FCDrawScarborough Athletic
54.71% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02) 25.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 20.12% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 45.6% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.03% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)55.97% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.93% (-0.02 -0.02)77.07% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Chester FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)20.46% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.08% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)52.92% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Scarborough Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.32% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)42.68% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.98% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.02% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Chester FC 54.71%
    Scarborough Athletic 20.12%
    Draw 25.16%
Chester FCDrawScarborough Athletic
1-0 @ 13.85% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.99%
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.81% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.95% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 54.71%
1-1 @ 11.79%
0-0 @ 8.73% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 7.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.02% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 20.12%

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Form Guide
Last Game: P'boro Sports 1-1 Chester
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 1-1 Banbury
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 0-0 Chester
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 0-2 Chester
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 2-0 Bishop's Stortford
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chester 0-1 Buxton
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-1 South Shields
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 1-0 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 0-1 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 1-1 P'boro Sports
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 3-2 Boston
Tuesday, January 16 at 8.15pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-0 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in National League North


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