SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 51.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 23.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Darlington |
51.56% ( -0.05) | 24.63% ( 0.02) | 23.81% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.75% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.79% ( -0.05) | 50.21% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.83% ( -0.05) | 72.17% ( 0.05) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.53% ( -0.04) | 19.46% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.68% ( -0.06) | 51.32% ( 0.06) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.25% ( -0) | 35.74% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.48% ( -0.01) | 72.52% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.32% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 51.55% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 23.81% |
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