SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scarborough Athletic win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 37.7% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Scarborough Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
38.32% ( 0.39) | 23.98% ( -0.06) | 37.7% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 61.56% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.24% ( 0.27) | 40.76% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.85% ( 0.28) | 63.15% ( -0.28) |
| Scarborough Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% ( 0.31) | 21.39% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.62% ( 0.48) | 54.38% ( -0.48) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.3% ( -0.05) | 21.69% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.15% ( -0.07) | 54.85% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Scarborough Athletic | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.68% Total : 38.32% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.26% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 37.7% |
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