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National League North | Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park

Brackley Town
3 - 0
Darlington

Walker (40'), Bates (63' pen.), Robinson (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Darlington.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hereford 2-2 Brackley Town
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 2-2 Bradford Park Av
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawDarlington
47.94% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09) 25.23% (0.0010000000000012 0) 26.82% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 52.73% (0.067 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.69% (0.055 0.05)50.3% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.75% (0.050000000000001 0.05)72.25% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)21% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.22% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)53.77% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Darlington Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.75% (0.097000000000008 0.1)33.25% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.14% (0.107 0.11)69.86% (-0.10799999999999 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 47.94%
    Darlington 26.82%
    Draw 25.22%
Brackley TownDrawDarlington
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.5% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 47.94%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.98% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.22%
0-1 @ 7.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 6.61% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.23% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.43% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 26.82%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hereford 2-2 Brackley Town
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-2 Telford
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-1 Brackley Town
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 3-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-1 Brackley Town
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Blyth Spartans
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 2-2 Bradford Park Av
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 0-0 Darlington
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Darlington 1-2 Chester
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 0-0 Darlington
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Kettering 0-0 Darlington
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 3-1 Darlington
Tuesday, March 21 at 7.45pm in National League North


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