Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 24.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hereford United in this match.