SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Darlington win with a probability of 45.06%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Darlington win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Darlington | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
45.06% ( -0.28) | 24.88% ( 0.09) | 30.05% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 56.1% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.08% ( -0.27) | 46.92% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.83% ( -0.25) | 69.17% ( 0.26) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.13% ( -0.23) | 20.87% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.43% ( -0.37) | 53.57% ( 0.37) |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.9% ( 0) | 29.1% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.97% ( 0) | 65.02% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Darlington | Draw | Curzon Ashton |
| 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.06% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.53% Total : 30.05% |
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