Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Southport had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southport | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
36.95% ( 5.36) | 25.14% ( -0.02) | 37.9% ( -5.35) |
Both teams to score 57.24% ( 1.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.68% ( 1.16) | 46.32% ( -1.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.39% ( 1.08) | 68.61% ( -1.08) |
Southport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.4% ( 3.76) | 24.6% ( -3.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.9% ( 5) | 59.1% ( -5) |
King's Lynn Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.92% ( -2.15) | 24.08% ( 2.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.63% ( -3.16) | 58.37% ( 3.16) |
Score Analysis |
Southport | Draw | King's Lynn Town |
1-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.47) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.8) 2-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.89) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.73) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.37) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.65) 4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.37) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.22) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.3) Other @ 1.88% Total : 36.95% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( -1) 1-2 @ 8.42% ( -0.6) 0-2 @ 6% ( -1.16) 1-3 @ 4% ( -0.57) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.77) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.31) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.36) 2-4 @ 1% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.9% |
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