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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 56.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
56.22% ( -0.06) | 22.81% ( 0.06) | 20.96% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.81% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.32% ( -0.28) | 45.68% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32% ( -0.27) | 68% ( 0.26) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.94% ( -0.12) | 16.06% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.57% ( -0.21) | 45.43% ( 0.21) |
| Farsley Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.1% ( -0.17) | 35.9% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.32% ( -0.17) | 72.68% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
| 1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.88% 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.33% Total : 56.22% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.81% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 20.96% |
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