SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Buxton win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Buxton |
44.35% ( 0.01) | 26.02% ( -0) | 29.62% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.15% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.05% ( 0) | 51.95% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.31% ( 0) | 73.69% ( -0) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.67% ( 0.01) | 23.32% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.72% ( 0.01) | 57.27% ( -0.01) |
| Buxton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% ( -0.01) | 31.98% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.56% ( -0.01) | 68.44% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Buxton |
| 1-0 @ 10.85% 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.84% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.59% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.99% Total : 44.35% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.46% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.14% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.5% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.85% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 1.95% 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.62% |
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