SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Southport had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Southport |
48.07% ( -0.02) | 25.27% ( 0.06) | 26.65% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.41% ( -0.27) | 50.58% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.5% ( -0.24) | 72.5% ( 0.24) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.94% ( -0.12) | 21.06% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.13% ( -0.18) | 53.87% ( 0.18) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.46% ( -0.18) | 33.53% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.82% ( -0.2) | 70.17% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 48.07% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.27% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 26.65% |
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