SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a King's Lynn Town win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a King's Lynn Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that King's Lynn Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| King's Lynn Town | Draw | Chorley |
37.68% ( -0.03) | 26.53% ( 0.01) | 35.79% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.44% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.56% ( -0.06) | 52.43% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.89% ( -0.05) | 74.11% ( 0.05) |
| King's Lynn Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% ( -0.05) | 27.03% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.61% ( -0.06) | 62.39% ( 0.06) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.86% ( -0.01) | 28.13% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.18% ( -0.02) | 63.81% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| King's Lynn Town | Draw | Chorley |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.84% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 37.68% | 1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.59% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.79% |
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