SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 42.35%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
42.35% ( -0.64) | 25.48% ( 0.26) | 32.17% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 55.09% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.32% ( -1.03) | 48.67% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.21% ( -0.94) | 70.79% ( 0.94) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( -0.75) | 22.87% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.38% ( -1.11) | 56.61% ( 1.11) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.43% ( -0.27) | 28.57% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.64% ( -0.33) | 64.36% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.15% Total : 42.35% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.17% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
