Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Bradford Park Avenue win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bradford Park Avenue | Draw | Southport |
31.39% ( 0.13) | 26.47% ( 0.05) | 42.14% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 51.61% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.96% ( -0.16) | 53.03% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.37% ( -0.14) | 74.62% ( 0.13) |
Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.72% ( 0.01) | 31.27% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.37% ( 0.01) | 67.62% ( -0.02) |
Southport Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.1% ( -0.17) | 24.9% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.48% ( -0.23) | 59.51% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford Park Avenue | Draw | Southport |
1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.39% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.46% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 42.13% |
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