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National League North | Gameweek 45
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue

Southport
1 - 3
Kidderminster

Oliver (59' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hemmings (1', 77'), Morgan-Smith (70')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Kidderminster Harriers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southport 1-3 Spennymoor
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 3-0 Telford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Southport had a probability of 26.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kidderminster Harriers would win this match.

Result
SouthportDrawKidderminster Harriers
26.87% (-0.038 -0.04) 26.71% (0.00099999999999767 0) 46.42% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.98% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)56.02% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.89% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)77.1% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)36.27% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.94% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)73.06% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Kidderminster Harriers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)24.11% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.59% (0.012 0.01)58.41% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Southport 26.87%
    Kidderminster Harriers 46.42%
    Draw 26.71%
SouthportDrawKidderminster Harriers
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 6.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.52% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.87%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 12.44% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.97% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 8.85% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.49% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 46.42%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Southport 1-3 Spennymoor
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 3-2 Southport
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-2 Chester
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 2-0 Southport
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-2 Banbury
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-1 Gloucester City
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 3-0 Telford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Fylde 0-2 Kidderminster
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-0 Buxton
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 0-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 0-0 Alfreton
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 1-1 Kidderminster
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League North


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