National League North | Gameweek 43
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
Haig Avenue
Coverage of the National League North clash between Southport and Chester FC.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Southport had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result |
| Southport | Draw | Chester FC |
29.58% ( 0.06) | 27.02% ( 0.06) | 43.39% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.12% ( -0.15) |
| 44.15% ( -0.2) | 55.85% ( 0.2) |
| 23.03% ( -0.17) | 76.97% ( 0.17) |
| 65.96% ( -0.06) | 34.04% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.27% ( -0.07) | 70.72% ( 0.07) |
| 74.47% ( -0.15) | 25.53% ( 0.15) |
