SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Southport had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.73%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Southport win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Chester FC |
29.58% ( 0.06) | 27.02% ( 0.06) | 43.39% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.12% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.15% ( -0.2) | 55.85% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.03% ( -0.17) | 76.97% ( 0.17) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.96% ( -0.06) | 34.04% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.27% ( -0.07) | 70.72% ( 0.07) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.47% ( -0.15) | 25.53% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.62% ( -0.21) | 60.38% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.89% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.47% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 29.58% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.73% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.39% |
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