Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-2 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.