Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 50.87%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 24.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.87%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 1-0 (7.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.