Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 18.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.49%) and 1-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 1-0 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.