Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Telford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-0 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.