SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 85.15%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 4.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.07%) and 4-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.99%), while for a Bishop's Stortford win it was 0-1 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tamworth | Draw | Bishop's Stortford |
85.15% ( 0.15) | 10.5% ( -0.1) | 4.34% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 39.29% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.87% ( 0.24) | 33.12% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.12% ( 0.28) | 54.87% ( -0.28) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.53% ( 0.07) | 5.46% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.65% ( 0.21) | 21.34% ( -0.22) |
| Bishop's Stortford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 41.56% ( -0.02) | 58.43% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.16% ( -0.01) | 89.83% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tamworth | Draw | Bishop's Stortford |
| 2-0 @ 13.49% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 13.07% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.08)2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.02% 5-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.46% Total : 85.15% | 1-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.37% Total : 10.5% | 0-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.29% Total : 4.34% |
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