SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southport win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southport win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Bishop's Stortford win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southport would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southport | Draw | Bishop's Stortford |
59.18% ( 2.61) | 21.87% ( -0.84) | 18.95% ( -1.77) |
| Both teams to score 53.6% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.65% ( 1.21) | 44.34% ( -1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.28% ( 1.17) | 66.72% ( -1.17) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.37% ( 1.27) | 14.62% ( -1.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.26% ( 2.39) | 42.74% ( -2.39) |
| Bishop's Stortford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.78% ( -1.14) | 37.21% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.99% ( -1.15) | 74% ( 1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southport | Draw | Bishop's Stortford |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.35)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.37)4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.28)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.19)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.15)Other @ 2.71% Total : 59.17% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( -0.41) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.86% | 0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.47) 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.37)0-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.5% Total : 18.95% |
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