SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 60.61%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Bishop's Stortford had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Bishop's Stortford win it was 2-1 (5.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bishop's Stortford | Draw | Chorley |
18.45% ( 1.1) | 20.94% ( 0.41) | 60.61% ( -1.51) |
| Both teams to score 55.83% ( 0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.06% ( -0.04) | 40.94% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.67% ( -0.04) | 63.33% ( 0.04) |
| Bishop's Stortford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.24% ( 1.21) | 35.76% ( -1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.47% ( 1.22) | 72.53% ( -1.22) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.91% ( -0.45) | 13.08% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.31% ( -0.92) | 39.69% ( 0.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bishop's Stortford | Draw | Chorley |
| 2-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 4.81% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.66% Total : 18.45% | 1-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.17)0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.94% | 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.32)0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 6.75% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 6.56% ( -0.33)2-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 3.43% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 3.34% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 1.76% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.4% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 1.36% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.41% Total : 60.61% |
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