SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 64.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Gloucester City had a probability of 15.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.71%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Gloucester City win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gloucester City | Draw | Tamworth |
15.6% ( -7.06) | 20.35% ( -4.46) | 64.05% ( 11.52) |
| Both teams to score 51.73% ( 1.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.61% ( 8.63) | 43.39% ( -8.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.22% ( 7.97) | 65.78% ( -7.97) |
| Gloucester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.36% ( -2.83) | 40.64% ( 2.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.76% ( -2.65) | 77.23% ( 2.64) |
| Tamworth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.15% ( 6.93) | 12.84% ( -6.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.8% ( 12.62) | 39.2% ( -12.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gloucester City | Draw | Tamworth |
| 1-0 @ 4.7% ( -2.57) 2-1 @ 4.34% ( -1.39)2-0 @ 2.12% ( -1.42)3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.56)Other @ 1.8% Total : 15.6% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( -2.14) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( -2.26)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.35% | 0-2 @ 10.99% ( 1.17) 0-1 @ 10.71% ( -1.41)1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.35)0-3 @ 7.52% ( 2.21)1-3 @ 6.77% ( 1.61)0-4 @ 3.86% ( 1.71)1-4 @ 3.47% ( 1.38)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.54)0-5 @ 1.58% ( 0.89)2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.55)1-5 @ 1.43% ( 0.75)Other @ 3.2% Total : 64.04% |
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