SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 48.04%. A win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Telford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Bradford Park Avenue win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Telford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
48.04% ( -0.27) | 25.23% ( 0.41) | 26.72% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( -1.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.62% ( -1.79) | 50.37% ( 1.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.68% ( -1.61) | 72.31% ( 1.61) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.01% ( -0.84) | 20.99% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.25% ( -1.33) | 53.75% ( 1.33) |
| Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% ( -1.06) | 33.37% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.01% ( -1.18) | 69.99% ( 1.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| AFC Telford United | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.53% Total : 48.04% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.23% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 26.72% |
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