SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 17.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for an AFC Telford United win it was 0-1 (6.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alfreton Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alfreton Town | Draw | AFC Telford United |
59.4% ( -0.69) | 22.89% ( 0.27) | 17.7% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 48.12% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.5% ( -0.46) | 50.5% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.57% ( -0.41) | 72.43% ( 0.41) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.34% ( -0.4) | 16.66% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.49% ( -0.72) | 46.51% ( 0.72) |
| AFC Telford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.74% ( 0.24) | 42.26% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.34% ( 0.2) | 78.66% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alfreton Town | Draw | AFC Telford United |
| 1-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.88% Total : 59.39% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.89% | 0-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 17.7% |
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