SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chester FC win with a probability of 48.08%. A win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chester FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Bradford Park Avenue win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chester FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford Park Avenue | Draw | Chester FC |
26.08% ( 0.07) | 25.83% ( -0.01) | 48.08% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.3% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.81% ( 0.08) | 53.19% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.24% ( 0.07) | 74.76% ( -0.07) |
| Bradford Park Avenue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.6% ( 0.1) | 35.4% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.84% ( 0.11) | 72.16% ( -0.1) |
| Chester FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.87% ( 0.01) | 22.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.49% ( 0.01) | 55.51% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford Park Avenue | Draw | Chester FC |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 26.08% | 1-1 @ 12.27% 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.48% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.2% Total : 48.08% |
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