Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 72.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 9.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.71%) and 3-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.
-0.28) 
0.18) 
