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National League North | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. James' Park
BP

Brackley Town
4 - 1
Bradford Park Av

Amantchi (24'), Stead (31'), Smart (76'), Woods (84' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Bradford Park Avenue.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kidderminster 1-2 Brackley Town
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 3-1 Leamington
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 72.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 9.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.71%) and 3-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brackley Town would win this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawBradford Park Avenue
72.32% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28) 17.81% (0.176 0.18) 9.88% (0.1049 0.1)
Both teams to score 42.94% (-0.17 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.06% (-0.457 -0.46)45.94% (0.459 0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.75% (-0.435 -0.43)68.25% (0.43600000000001 0.44)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.71% (-0.19800000000001 -0.2)11.3% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.07% (-0.438 -0.44)35.93% (0.441 0.44)
Bradford Park Avenue Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.41% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)51.6% (0.083999999999996 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.26% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)85.74% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 72.31%
    Bradford Park Avenue 9.88%
    Draw 17.81%
Brackley TownDrawBradford Park Avenue
2-0 @ 13.85% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-0 @ 12.71% (0.15 0.15)
3-0 @ 10.07% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.67% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 5.49% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 3.63% (-0.057 -0.06)
5-0 @ 2.4% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.59% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 72.31%
1-1 @ 8.41% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.83% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.03% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 17.81%
0-1 @ 3.86% (0.066 0.07)
1-2 @ 2.78% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.28% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 9.88%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-2 Brackley Town
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Chorley
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: P'boro Sports 2-0 Brackley Town
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Scarborough Ath 0-0 Brackley Town
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 4-0 Gloucester City
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Brackley Town 1-1 Chester
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 3-1 Leamington
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Gloucester City 5-1 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 2-1 Bradford Park Av
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-0 Chorley
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-1 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 3-2 Bradford Park Av
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League North


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