Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 38.45%. A win for Chester FC had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Telford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Chester FC win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.