Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 38.53%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 36.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (5.87%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.