Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Telford United win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 33.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Telford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 0-1 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Telford United would win this match.