Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 53.89%. A win for AFC Telford United had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest AFC Telford United win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.