Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kettering Town win with a probability of 53.09%. A win for Curzon Ashton had a probability of 24.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kettering Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Curzon Ashton win was 1-2 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kettering Town would win this match.
