SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Hereford United |
| 38.82% | 24.91% | 36.26% |
| Both teams to score 58.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.7% | 45.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.36% | 67.64% |
| Curzon Ashton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% | 23.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.98% | 57.02% |
| Hereford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.5% | 24.5% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.04% | 58.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Curzon Ashton | Draw | Hereford United |
| 2-1 @ 8.54% 1-0 @ 8.3% 2-0 @ 6.07% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.93% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.82% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 6.01% 0-0 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.91% | 1-2 @ 8.21% 0-1 @ 7.98% 0-2 @ 5.61% 1-3 @ 3.85% 2-3 @ 2.82% 0-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 0.99% 0-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.91% Total : 36.26% |
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