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National League North | Gameweek 28
Feb 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Tameside Stadium

Curzon Ashton
3 - 0
Hereford

Peers (49'), Mahon (71'), Cooke (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Curzon Ashton and Hereford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curzon Ashton win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Curzon Ashton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curzon Ashton would win this match.

Result
Curzon AshtonDrawHereford United
38.82%24.91%36.26%
Both teams to score 58.02%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.7%45.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.36%67.64%
Curzon Ashton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85%23.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98%57.02%
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.5%24.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.04%58.96%
Score Analysis
    Curzon Ashton 38.82%
    Hereford United 36.26%
    Draw 24.91%
Curzon AshtonDrawHereford United
2-1 @ 8.54%
1-0 @ 8.3%
2-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.08%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 38.82%
1-1 @ 11.67%
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.91%
1-2 @ 8.21%
0-1 @ 7.98%
0-2 @ 5.61%
1-3 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 2.82%
0-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 0.99%
0-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 36.26%

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