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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warrington Town win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Warrington Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Warrington Town | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
36.94% ( -0.36) | 26.76% ( -0) | 36.3% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 51.68% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.59% ( 0.02) | 53.41% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.06% ( 0.01) | 74.94% ( -0.01) |
| Warrington Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.08% ( -0.21) | 27.92% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.45% ( -0.27) | 63.55% ( 0.27) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.7% ( 0.23) | 28.3% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.98% ( 0.29) | 64.02% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Warrington Town | Draw | Spennymoor Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.84% Total : 36.93% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.74% Total : 36.3% |
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