SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 50.78%. A win for Southport had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Southport |
50.78% ( -3.69) | 24.13% ( 0.6) | 25.09% ( 3.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.68% ( 1.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53% ( 0.51) | 47% ( -0.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.76% ( 0.47) | 69.24% ( -0.46) |
| Spennymoor Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.47% ( -1.19) | 18.53% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.24% ( -2.06) | 49.76% ( 2.07) |
| Southport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% ( 3.03) | 32.89% ( -3.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.54% ( 3.23) | 69.46% ( -3.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spennymoor Town | Draw | Southport |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.63) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.9)3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.31)3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.72)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.4)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.33% Total : 50.78% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.63)0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.51)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.4)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.27)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.28)Other @ 2.46% Total : 25.09% |
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