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National League North | Gameweek 3
Aug 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Brewery Field

Spennymoor
5 - 1
Southport

Ramshaw (18', 81'), Taylor (24', 90+3'), Harris (30')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Evans (10' pen.)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Spennymoor Town and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spennymoor 1-4 Tamworth
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-1 Southport
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spennymoor Town win with a probability of 50.78%. A win for Southport had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spennymoor Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spennymoor Town would win this match.

Result
Spennymoor TownDrawSouthport
50.78% (-3.687 -3.69) 24.13% (0.604 0.6) 25.09% (3.091 3.09)
Both teams to score 54.68% (1.698 1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (0.506 0.51)47% (-0.499 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.76% (0.47 0.47)69.24% (-0.461 -0.46)
Spennymoor Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47% (-1.193 -1.19)18.53% (1.201 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.24% (-2.06 -2.06)49.76% (2.069 2.07)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.11% (3.028 3.03)32.89% (-3.021 -3.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.54% (3.233 3.23)69.46% (-3.225 -3.22)
Score Analysis
    Spennymoor Town 50.78%
    Southport 25.09%
    Draw 24.13%
Spennymoor TownDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.63 -0.63)
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 8.66% (-0.9 -0.9)
3-1 @ 5.41% (-0.309 -0.31)
3-0 @ 4.87% (-0.719 -0.72)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.08 0.08)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.226 -0.23)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.397 -0.4)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 50.78%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.25 0.25)
0-0 @ 6.09% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.341 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.115 0.12)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.13%
0-1 @ 6.78% (0.404 0.4)
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.633 0.63)
0-2 @ 3.77% (0.505 0.51)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.402 0.4)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.274 0.27)
0-3 @ 1.4% (0.282 0.28)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 25.09%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Spennymoor 1-4 Tamworth
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 0-3 Spennymoor
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-1 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Banbury 0-1 Spennymoor
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-3 Spennymoor
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Spennymoor 4-2 Kettering
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Alfreton 3-1 Southport
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 0-4 Warrington Town
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Leamington 2-1 Southport
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-3 Kidderminster
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Southport 1-3 Spennymoor
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: King's Lynn 3-2 Southport
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League North


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