Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 47%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.
