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National League North | Gameweek 5
Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Bootham Crescent

York City
4 - 2
Farsley Celtic

Willoughby (24'), Beck (45+2'), Woods (58'), Donaldson (70' pen.)
FT(HT: 2-0)
Hayhurst (72'), Hanson (82')
Coverage of the National League North clash between York City and Farsley Celtic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 47%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
York CityDrawFarsley Celtic
47%24.71%28.29%
Both teams to score 55.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.85%47.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.62%69.38%
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.87%20.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.61%52.38%
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53%30.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32%66.68%
Score Analysis
    York City 47%
    Farsley Celtic 28.29%
    Draw 24.71%
York CityDrawFarsley Celtic
1-0 @ 9.83%
2-1 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 7.88%
3-1 @ 5.01%
3-0 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 2.97%
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-0 @ 1.69%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 47%
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 6.13%
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 7.29%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-2 @ 4.33%
1-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.21%
0-3 @ 1.72%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 28.29%

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